The New House of Representatives.

Carter won the next general election.

(Fixed 2016 in my numbers to 2018.)

I hope the Democrats can keep this energy up for a few more years.  We now know what happens when we slack off a little.  I don't like the DNC much, but if they fund gerrymandering lawsuits I will donate.

The key is to make sure the 2020 Census is as accurate as possible and then to fight for fairness in the drawing of the new Congressional Districts.

The Senate also seems a problem, because senate representation is by state, independent of census counts, so it tilts heavily in favor of low-population states that tend to vote Republican.

I guess one approach is to flip these states, but that seems hard if not impossible to do. Another is to change senate representation rules in the constitution, but that's not going to happen obviously. Another way to level the playing field would be to add more states: DC and/or Puerto Rico. It is my understanding that as recently as 2016/2017 there were referendums where the population clearly voted in favor of statehood. Is that likely to happen?

A downer for democrats:

As the United States moves toward becoming a majority-minority nation, some on the left have come to believe that Democrats will be rescued by demography—that the party can ignore the white working class and focus instead on communities of color and on young people and single women of all races. This is wishful thinking. First, the U.S. won’t be majority-minority until about 2045. If you think Democrats—or the country—can survive this degree of political chaos for a quarter century, I don’t know what to tell you.

Second, geography matters. Minority voters aren’t equally distributed throughout the country, and the votes of rural and Rust Belt whites are overrepresented because of the design of the Electoral College and the Senate. Moreover, even in 2040, 37 states will remain majority-white. State legislatures control redistricting, which influences the composition of the House of Representatives, as well as important areas of social policy, like education. Are Democrats really willing to give up on most states?

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/12/the-democrats-white-people-problem/573901/

GL2 said:
A downer for democrats:

As the United States moves toward becoming a majority-minority nation, some on the left have come to believe that Democrats will be rescued by demography—that the party can ignore the white working class and focus instead on communities of color and on young people and single women of all races. This is wishful thinking. First, the U.S. won’t be majority-minority until about 2045. If you think Democrats—or the country—can survive this degree of political chaos for a quarter century, I don’t know what to tell you.

Second, geography matters. Minority voters aren’t equally distributed throughout the country, and the votes of rural and Rust Belt whites are overrepresented because of the design of the Electoral College and the Senate. Moreover, even in 2040, 37 states will remain majority-white. State legislatures control redistricting, which influences the composition of the House of Representatives, as well as important areas of social policy, like education. Are Democrats really willing to give up on most states?

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/12/the-democrats-white-people-problem/573901/

If you use race, religion, or region, you can get people to vote against their own self interest

gerritn said:

If you use race, religion, or region, you can get people to vote against their own self interest

 I'll make it easier. Use abortion, gays, Hillary Clinton and Nancy Pelosi and you can win every red state legislature.